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Author
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Topic: Suspicious?
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Jack Roberts
unknown comic
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posted July 01, 2004 06:01 PM
I know how probabilities work. Even if you had 50 heads in a row, you still only have a 50% chance of getting a tails.
Now to the story.
A friend of mine has been putting in for a deer tag for where he lives for well over 20 years and has never drawn one. His neighbor has drawn one 9 years in a row. If everything is on the up-and-up, that is quite a coincidence.
Should I ask one of them to pick some lottery numbers for me? (Actually I never play because I would be too embarassed to claim the prize.)
Are these game tag drawings always honest?
Jack
IP: Logged
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Cal Taylor
Knows what it's all about
Member # 199
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posted July 01, 2004 06:09 PM
I'm a victim too Jack. I haven't drawn a bull elk tag for about 9 years in an area that has about 40% draw odds. I finally gave up and put in for an area that I will have to pay a reasonably steep tresspass fee for this year, and I drew it. I gave up on ever drawing a Wyoming moose tag and settled some debts owed to me by a booking agency, by booking a moose hunt in Canada. It was the only way to get my money and I'll get a moose too I hope. It doesn't look good at all for a sheep tag in my lifetime. So I don't know about the draw systems. I guess if anything comes down to pure luck, some are luckier than others.
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Democracy is two wolves and a lamb deciding what to have for lunch.
Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.
FoxPro Field Staff Member
Posts: 1069 | From: Wyoming | Registered: May 2003
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Leonard
HMFIC
Member # 2
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posted July 01, 2004 06:57 PM
Jack, I remember something from a while ago, that a drawing was rigged, but don't know who, or where?
Human nature being what it is, if there's a will, there's a way. Cynical attitude, but we always hear about the lucky dude getting drawn on his first attempt, and the others that put in for everything, every year, and never even get a sniff.
Nevada was forced to change the drawing for res and nonres tags, a couple years ago. I think it was decided that it was unfair to the nonres.....but what else is new?
Good hunting. LB
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EL BEE Knows It All and Done It All.
Don't piss me off!
Posts: 32361 | From: Upland, CA | Registered: Jan 2003
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Brad Norman
Okie Dokie
Member # 234
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posted July 02, 2004 07:15 AM
Cal, Do you need anyone to "tag along" with you on Moose hunt?
Posts: 298 | From: Oklahoma | Registered: Aug 2003
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Cal Taylor
Knows what it's all about
Member # 199
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posted July 02, 2004 08:53 AM
Sure thing Brad, I could use a camera man or I can see if there's a spot open if you want to book. It would be an interesting experiment anyway, between the southern drawl and the northern EH!
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Democracy is two wolves and a lamb deciding what to have for lunch.
Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.
FoxPro Field Staff Member
Posts: 1069 | From: Wyoming | Registered: May 2003
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